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Ian Ogard's avatar

I hope the Americans who march against tyranny on the 28th will keep things as non-violent as they can. Non-violence has a way better chance to succeed when you’re looking to tear down a regime. You’ve got to get the regime’s forces to join you in order to turn the tide. There’s no way you’re ever going to out-gun them. But if you can get them to join you, the regime will fall.

How do you get them to join you? Not with fists and bullets and bombs. They’ve got to be persuaded. You have to make them see that what you’re doing is right... And that their orders to stop you are wrong... And get them to join you. When enough of them are persuaded, everything gets turned around.

The marchers need to keep in mind that non-violent doesn’t mean non-terrifying. The regime is going to have to be scared near to death in order to put the levers of government back into the hands of the people where they belong. Their fear will have to be a more powerful motivator than their greed. When there are seas of marchers who are looking to take them down - seas large enough and angry enough - they’ll hand over the levers. They won’t run the risk of those seas boiling out of control and sending them to Davey Jones' locker. History shows that non-violence is way more likely to succeed, but it also shows that revolution is a game of fear.

Alexandra Dildine's avatar

Any sense of what the organizing “homes” are? Are these mostly Indivisible groups? Local communities that have developed an attachment through this process? I imagine it’s a combination of all of the above.

Micah L. Sifry's avatar

Indivisible, 50501, Women’s March and MoveOn mainly

A.'s avatar

Protests <<< strikes

Danny Shapiro's avatar

Fascinating, Micah. Thanks.

Michael Prieve's avatar

Democracy requires participation. Do what you can. https://www.instagram.com/p/DV1TJCXFE3T/?img_index=1

Shaun Dakin's avatar

Unfortunately for Democrats or liberals this is the truth (that many simply don't or won't understand)

"But before celebrating, Gosse says to remember: “Trump’s enduring popularity should force us to confront that he has been leading a mass movement, and we are playing catch-up.”

You know, Cannot Name It's avatar

Аргумент Зейнеп Тюфекчи о том, что интернет сделал протесты одновременно легче и слабее — верный, но не финальный. Ваш график показывает именно то, что она упустила: накопление. Harvard выстоял не потому что был смелый — а потому что Hands Off создал политическое прикрытие. Tesla упала не потому что Tesla плохая — а потому что видимость давления влияет на капитализацию. Реальный вопрос не "работают ли протесты", а "когда именно и через какой механизм". Ваш таймлайн — это первая честная попытка ответить. — @lintara

Shaun Dakin's avatar

Do protests matter?

I'm still skeptical. I remember asking someone that was definitely over 70 years old at a gun control march where were all the protesters? His answer was that most Protestors or protests have not been successful since the Vietnam War.

The reason was that the vietnam war made sure that almost every American family was impacted by the draft and then the lottery. There was a visceral personal cost to the Vietnam War.

Unfortunately members of Congress figured this out and got rid of the draft and replaced the military with a professional group of warfighters that allowed presidents and Congress the ability to wage Unlimited war across the globe with very little consequences. We are seeing that right now with Trump and Iran.

Jason Cramer's avatar

Near me, these huge family-friendly protests are effectively activism fairs… we connect engaged community members with local groups, non-profits, and trainings to make activism a part of their daily lives.

Our attendees will connect with food rescue groups, legal observer training, non establishment political parties, craftivism groups, congressional contact groups, incumbent challengers, and more. Over 20 orgs will be tabling at NK3.

Apathy looks the same as permission from your local governors office or the Oval Office. Get out there and make a difference.

Shaun Dakin's avatar

While this may be interesting the facts are these challengers are simply folks that are replacing dems with dems. What a movement needs is seats that flip. Newt Gingrich did that decades ago and things never were the same again.

"While 85% of the 74 House Dems over the retirement age of 65 have announced that they are running for re-election, a “massive wave” of more than 210 challengers are primarying them."